Stock markets in Asia edged lower while safe havens such as gold and the Japanese yen gained as investors remained on edge over the possible entry of the US into the week-old Israel-Iran air war.
President Donald Trump kept the world guessing about whether the United States will join Israel’s bombardment of Iranian nuclear sites, telling reporters outside the White House on Thursday, “I may do it. I may not do it.”
The Wall Street Journal said Trump had told senior aides he approved attack plans on Iran but was holding off on giving the final order to see if Tehran would abandon its nuclear program.
Japan’s Nikkei sank 0.8 per cent, with additional downward pressure stemming from a stronger yen, which reduces the value of overseas revenues for the country’s heavyweight exporters.
Taiwan’s stock benchmark slid 0.9 per cent, and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng declined 0.8 per cent.
US S&P 500 futures pointed 0.4 per cent lower, although most US markets – including Wall Street and the Treasury market – are closed on Thursday for a national holiday.
Gold advanced 0.3 per cent to $3,378 per ounce.
“Market participants remain edgy and uncertain,” said Kyle Rodda, senior financial markets analyst at Capital.com.
“Speculation remains rife – fed probably strategically by the Trump administration – that the US will intervene, something that would mark a material escalation and could invite direct retaliation against the US by Iran,” he said. “Such a scenario would raise the risk of a greater regional conflict, with implications for global energy supply and probably economic growth.”
Brent crude edged down to $76.32 per barrel, but remained not far from the 4-1/2-month peak of $78.50 reached on Friday.
The yen gained 0.2 per cent to 144.92 per dollar, while the US currency itself was also in demand as a haven, gaining 0.1 per cent to $1.1472 per euro and 0.2 per cent to $1.3398 versus sterling.
The Swiss franc edged down 0.1 per cent to 0.8193 per dollar.
The Bank of England and Swiss National Bank will both announce policy decisions later in the day, with the BOE widely expected to keep interest rates steady while the SNB is seen as likely to cut rates by 25 basis points.
Overnight, the Federal Reserve delivered some mixed signals to markets. Policymakers held rates steady, as expected, and retained projections for two quarter-point rate cuts this year.
However, Fed Chair Jerome Powell struck a cautious note about further easing ahead, saying at his press conference later that he expects “meaningful” inflation ahead as a result of Trump’s aggressive trade tariffs.
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