US, China to launch new talks on tariff truce extension

US, China to launch new talks on tariff truce extension

Top US and Chinese economic officials will resume talks in Stockholm to try to tackle longstanding economic disputes at the centre of a trade war between the world’s top two economies, aiming to extend a truce by three months and keeping sharply higher tariffs at bay.

China is facing an August 12 deadline to reach a durable tariff agreement with President Donald Trump’s administration, after Beijing and Washington reached preliminary deals in May and June to end weeks of escalating tit-for-tat tariffs and a cut-off of rare earth minerals.

Without an agreement, global supply chains could face renewed turmoil from US duties snapping back to triple-digit levels that would amount to a bilateral trade embargo.

US President Donald Trump
The latest round of negotiations follows Donald Trump’s trade deal with the European Union. (AP PHOTO)

The Stockholm talks come hot on the heels of Trump’s biggest trade deal yet with the European Union on Sunday for a 15 per cent tariff on most EU goods exports to the US, including autos. The bloc will also buy $US750 billion worth of American energy and make $US600 billion worth of US investments in coming years.

No similar breakthrough is expected in the US-China talks but trade analysts said that another 90-day extension of a tariff and export control truce struck in mid-May was likely.

An extension of that length would prevent further escalation and facilitate planning for a potential meeting between Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping in late October or early November.

A US Treasury spokesperson declined comment on a South China Morning Post report quoting unnamed sources as saying the two sides would refrain from introducing new tariffs or other steps that could escalate the trade war for another 90 days.

Trump’s administration is poised to impose new sectoral tariffs that will impact China within weeks, including on semiconductors, pharmaceuticals, ship-to-shore cranes and other products.

“We’re very close to a deal with China. We really sort of made a deal with China, but we’ll see how that goes,” Trump told reporters before European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen struck their tariff deal.

A mine in the US
In recent talks, the US has tried to restore the flow of rare earth minerals halted by China. (AP PHOTO)

Previous US-China trade talks in Geneva and London in May and June focused on bringing US and Chinese retaliatory tariffs down from triple-digit levels and restoring the flow of rare earth minerals halted by China and Nvidia’s H20 AI chips and other goods halted by the United States.

So far, the talks have not delved into broader economic issues. They include US complaints that China’s state-led, export-driven model is flooding world markets with cheap goods, and Beijing’s complaints that US national security export controls on tech goods seek to stunt Chinese growth.

“Geneva and London were really just about trying to get the relationship back on track so that they could, at some point, actually negotiate about the issues which animate the disagreement between the countries in the first place,” said Scott Kennedy, a China economics expert at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington.

“I’d be surprised if there is an early harvest on some of these things but an extension of the ceasefire for another 90 days seems to be the most likely outcome.”

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent previously flagged a tariff deadline extension. (AP PHOTO)

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng will lead the delegations in Stockholm. Bessent has already flagged a deadline extension and has said he wants China to rebalance its economy away from exports to more domestic consumption – a decades-long goal for US policymakers.

In the background of the talks is speculation about a possible meeting between Trump and Xi in late October.

Trump has said he will decide soon on a landmark trip to China, and a new flare-up of tariffs and export controls would likely derail planning.

Maverick MP has coalition net-zero policy in his sights

Maverick MP has coalition net-zero policy in his sights

Former deputy prime minister Barnaby Joyce is testing the coalition’s stance on climate change, as the Nationals MP makes a bid to dump an emissions target.

Mr Joyce has used one of the first sitting days of the new parliament to introduce laws to repeal Australia’s plan to reach net-zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050.

While the private member’s bill won’t be voted on in the house, the stance of Mr Joyce and other prominent Nationals MPs on net-zero has been laid down before Opposition Leader Sussan Ley and the Liberal Party have agreed on a formal position.

Colin Boyce (L) Barnaby Joyce (C) and Michael McCormack (R)
Former rivals Barnaby Joyce and Michael McCormack are spearheading a push to dump net-zero by 2050. (Mick Tsikas/AAP PHOTOS)

Ms Ley says the coalition will wait until a review of its disastrous May 2025 election result has concluded before making a formal decision on the policy.

Many moderates within the Liberal Party want the net-zero target retained so the party is seen to be taking climate action seriously.

But Mr Joyce said there was no reason why abandoning the targets shouldn’t be on the table.

“This is not about leadership. This is not about trying to create some sort of discordant note,” he told reporters in Canberra on Monday.

“There’s not anything in this bill that the coalition didn’t have the same position we voted for.

“So if you want to have a review, you should include in that why have you got a different position to what the coalition actually had.”

Mr Joyce has the backing of his former leadership rival, Michael McCormack. 

The two ex-deputy prime ministers are critical of Nationals leader David Littleproud’s handling of the aftermath of the election defeat.

The coalition reunited at the end of May following a messy week-long split driven by divisions on net-zero emissions.

Mr Littleproud’s leadership was contested after the election over the party’s adoption of the climate target.

Opposition energy spokesman Dan Tehan said the coalition would work to produce a policy that demonstrates how it will play its role in emissions reduction. 

“Now that’s going to take some time, it’s going to involve making sure I’m out there listening to colleagues and what they have to say,” he told Sky News.

“It also means going out and listening to industry and, importantly, listening to households.”

Liberal MP Garth Hamilton has also backed Nationals MPs trying to jettison the climate target.

One Nation leader Pauline Hanson
Pauline Hanson is also manoeuvring to dump the net-zero target. (Mick Tsikas/AAP PHOTOS)

It comes as One Nation leader Pauline Hanson plans to launch her own bid to scrap net-zero in the upper house on Monday.

Senator Hanson said her motion to repeal the target will be seen as an indication of where the coalition partners stand on the emissions measure.

“How are the moderates and the progressives in the Liberal Party going to go with this?” she asked on Sky News.

“We’ve got to look at the impact (net zero) having on our country.”

Trump agrees outline trade deal with EU’s von der Leyen

Trump agrees outline trade deal with EU’s von der Leyen

The United States has struck a framework trade deal with the European Union, imposing a 15 per cent import tariff on most EU goods, but averting a spiralling battle between two allies which account for almost a third of global trade.

The announcement came after European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen travelled for talks with US President Donald Trump at his golf course in western Scotland to push a hard-fought deal over the line.

“I think this is the biggest deal ever made,” Trump told reporters after an hour-long meeting with von der Leyen, who said the 15 per cent tariff applied “across the board”. 

“We have a trade deal between the two largest economies in the world, and it’s a big deal. It’s a huge deal. It will bring stability. It will bring predictability,” she said. 

Donald Trump,  Ursula von der Leyen
US President Donald Trump and the EU’s Ursula von der Leyen address the media at Turnberry. (AP PHOTO)

The deal, which also includes $US600 billion ($A901 bn) of EU investments in the United States and $US750 bn ($A1.1 trillion) of EU purchases of US energy over Trump’s second term, will indeed bring clarity for EU companies.

Even so, the baseline tariff will be seen by many in Europe as a poor outcome compared with the initial European ambition of a zero-for-zero tariff deal, although it is better than the threatened 30 per cent rate.

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz welcomed the deal, saying in a statement that a trade conflict had been averted that would have hit Germany’s export-driven economy and its large auto sector hard.

But Bernd Lange, the German Social Democrat who chairs the trade committee of the European Parliament, said he was “quite critical” because the tariffs were imbalanced and the pledged investment would likely come at the expense of EU industry.

The euro rose around 0.2 per cent against the dollar, sterling and yen within an hour of the deal being announced.

The deal mirrors key parts of the framework agreement the United States clinched with Japan last week.

President Donald Trump
President Donald Trump is combining golf with political meetings on his trip to Scotland. (AP PHOTO)

“We are agreeing that the tariff … for automobiles and everything else will be a straight-across tariff of 15 per cent,” Trump said. That rate will not, however, apply to steel and aluminium, for which a 50 per cent tariff will remain in place, although von der Leyen said it would be cut and replaced with a quota system.

Von der Leyen said the rate also applied to semiconductors and pharmaceuticals, and there would be no tariffs from either side on aircraft and aircraft parts, certain chemicals, certain generic drugs, semiconductor equipment, some agricultural products, natural resources and critical raw materials.

“We will keep working to add more products to this list,” she said, adding that the situation on spirits was still to be established.

Trump, who is seeking to reorder the global economy and reduce decades-old US trade deficits, has so far reeled in agreements with Britain, Japan, Indonesia and Vietnam, although his administration has failed to deliver on a promise of “90 deals in 90 days.”

Arriving in Scotland, Trump said the EU wanted “to make a deal very badly” and said, as he met von der Leyen, that Europe had been “very unfair to the United States”.

His main bugbear is the US merchandise trade deficit with the EU, which in 2024 reached $US235 bn ($A353 bn), according to US Census Bureau data. The EU points to the US surplus in services, which it says partially redresses the balance. Trump also talked on Sunday about the “hundreds of billions of dollars” that tariffs were bringing in.

West is best economically as eastern states left behind

West is best economically as eastern states left behind

West is best again in economic circles but big gains made on the other side of the Nullarbor have surprised economists and left eastern states languishing.

A boost in housing construction has propelled South Australia to second position, above Queensland and Victoria, in CommSec’s latest State of the States report released on Monday.

Western Australia remains the nation’s top performer for the fourth straight quarter with strong returns on retail spending and business investment, but an upheaval could be on the horizon.

Arial view of the Adelaide City Centre
A boost in housing construction has propelled South Australia in the report’s rankings. (Lukas Coch/AAP PHOTOS)

“We are seeing Western Australia lose a little bit of momentum,” CommSec chief economist Ryan Felsman told AAP.

“It’s been growing at a breakneck speed the last two or three years, and the reason for that is population growth has been the highest for some time.”

The report ranks Australian states’ economic performance based on eight key indicators including economic growth, retail spending, unemployment, population growth and dwelling commencements.

Some states, such as WA and Queensland, have natural resource advantages over the others, while smaller jurisdictions such as Tasmania and the Northern Territory have naturally lower economic capacity due to their smaller populations.

The report gauges how each state economy is performing relative to its long-term average.

Leading the nation in construction and dwelling starts propelled SA past the eastern states, where housing affordability problems continue.

Dwelling investment in NSW, Victoria and the ACT remains roughly the same as it was a decade ago, but Mr Felsman said general improvements in the economy should improve prospects nationwide.

People in Sydney CBD
The report examines economic and population growth, retail spending, employment and new dwellings. (Bianca De Marchi/AAP PHOTOS)

“Heavily mortgaged households are feeling the benefits of two interest-rate cuts, with more on the way,” he said.

“If you add to that better real wages growth, cost-of-living pressures are easing and that should lead to a pick-up in household consumption.”

Queensland maintained its third-place standing but its growth was hampered by reduced coal and agriculture exports due to the impacts of Tropical Cyclone Alfred.

Higher relative unemployment pushed Victoria from second to fourth, while Tasmania, NSW, the ACT and the Northern Territory rounded out the rankings respectively.

STATE OF THE STATES RANKINGS

1st: Western Australia, unchanged

2nd: South Australia, up from fourth

3rd: Queensland, unchanged

4th: Victoria, down from second

5th: Tasmania, unchanged

=6th: NSW, down from equal fifth

=6th: ACT, up from seventh

8th: Northern Territory, unchanged

* All changes compared to the CommSec April quarter report

Aussies missing out on payoff from research investment

Aussies missing out on payoff from research investment

Australia is missing out on a $7 billion per year economic boon because it has failed to keep pace in the international research and development stakes, according to a new report.

Tax cuts and red tape have dominated discussions ahead of Treasurer Jim Chalmers’s economic roundtable. 

But getting investment flowing back into technological innovation is critical to fixing productivity growth, said the Business Council of Australia, along with home-grown tech companies Cochlear and Atlassian, as they released a report by consulting firm Mandala on Monday.

Just by fixing research and development (R&D) policies and without increasing the burden on the budget, an extra 0.1 per cent could be added to productivity growth each year, they claimed.

The Cochlear Nucleus 6 System on display
Cochlear’s head says well-funded strategies are needed to support innovation in Australia. (Paul Miller/AAP PHOTOS)

“Empowering businesses to make R&D investments is critical to making our economy more productive and innovative, and for delivering greater prosperity for all Australians,” said the organisation’s chief executive Bran Black.

But Australia has slid down the international rankings in the past decade, with large businesses’ R&D investment falling 24 per cent in that time.

The nation’s total R&D expenditure has fallen to 1.7 per cent of GDP, compared to the average of 2.6 per cent across peer economies.

The report highlights six tweaks that could once again make Australia a world leader in innovation and deliver $5 of value for every $1 spent by the government.

They include simplifying the tax incentive premium for R&D to a flat rate of 18.5 per cent, removing the existing tax incentive cap of $150 million, taxing profits from Australian innovations at a concessional 10 per cent rate, and incentivising collaboration between industry and research institutions.

Business Council of Australia Chief Executive Bran Black
R&D is critical for delivering national prosperity, Business Council head Bran Black says. (Lukas Coch/AAP PHOTOS)

The report also called for streamlined reporting and compliance requirements to access the R&D tax incentive, and simplifying R&D grants for businesses by consolidating the various existing grants into fewer nationally significant programs.

Cochlear chief executive Dig Howitt said clear, well-funded strategies would capture the full value of local innovation and attract high-value global companies.

“Given that R&D and intellectual property are mobile, there are constant efforts by other nations to attract elements of Australian business’s value chain – particularly our innovation, IP development and manufacturing – offshore,” he said.

Atlassian chief of staff Amy Glancey said Australia has always been ideas rich but has fallen short in commercialising innovations and selling them to the world.

Major step towards cutting maximum medicine cost to $25

Major step towards cutting maximum medicine cost to $25

Australians will pay no more than $25 for selected medicines for the first time in more than 20 years under a proposal to be brought before parliament.

It will be the second cap on medicines on the Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme (PBS) introduced by the Albanese government in three years, after it cut the maximum price of PBS prescriptions from $42.50 to $30.

“The size of your bank balance shouldn’t determine the quality of your health care,” Prime Minister Anthony Albanese said.

“My government will continue to deliver cost-of-living relief for all Australians.”

Chemist dispensing medication
The government fears the PBS could be targeted as a bargaining chip in US trade negotiations. (Lukas Coch/AAP PHOTOS)

PBS medicines would be capped at $7.70 for pensioners and credit card holders until 2030.

The bill’s introduction is largely a formality, with its passage through the lower house all but assured thanks to Labor’s massive 94-seat majority in the 150-seat House of Representatives.

The election promise is the Albanese government’s next priority after it introduced childcare safety and HECS debt reduction legislation.

Federal Labor has been talking up plans to strengthen the PBS amid concerns the scheme will be targeted as a bargaining chip in US trade negotiations to ward off threatened pharmaceutical tariffs.

Mr Albanese has repeatedly said the scheme was not up for negotiation.

Australia eased its biosecurity restrictions on US beef imports last week, but the prime minister has denied the move was linked to US trade talks, noting it followed a 10-year review of Australian biosecurity rules.

Beyond new legislation, conflict in the Middle East will likely prompt fierce debate on the parliamentary floor after Mr Albanese said Israel had breached international law by blocking the flow of food aid into Gaza.

Pro-Palestine supporters
The humanitarian crisis in Gaza and Palestinian statehood are likely to be debated in parliament. (Dean Lewins/AAP PHOTOS)

“Quite clearly, it is a breach of international law to stop food being delivered, which was a decision that Israel made in March,” Mr Albanese said on ABC’s Insiders program on Sunday.

He stopped short of saying Australia would join France in recognising a Palestinian state, but said his government would decide at “an appropriate time”.

“Hamas can have no role in a future state,” he said.

“Hamas are a terrorist organisation who I find, their actions are abhorrent.”

Opposition foreign affairs spokeswoman Michaelia Cash said Mr Albanese failed to adequately condemn the role of the group in the ongoing conflict.

The government is also likely to come under pressure regarding transparency when parliament resumes, after a Centre for Public Integrity probe revealed only a quarter of freedom of information request responses returned by the government in 2023-24 were un-redacted.

By comparison, the Morrison government returned almost half of its FOI requests as complete documents in 2021-22.

Trump, EU’s von der Leyen to meet to clinch trade deal

Trump, EU’s von der Leyen to meet to clinch trade deal

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen is set to meet US President Donald Trump to clinch a trade deal for Europe that would likely see a 15 per cent baseline tariff on most EU goods, but end months of uncertainty for EU companies.

Before the meeting, expected at 1530 GMT Sunday (0130 AEST Monday) on Trump’s golf course in Turnberry, western Scotland, US and EU teams were in final talks on tariffs for crucial sectors like cars, steel, aluminium or pharmaceuticals.

US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer and Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick flew to Scotland on Saturday and EU Trade Commissioner Maros Sefcovic arrived on Sunday morning.

Lutnick told “Fox News Sunday” that the EU needed to open its markets for more US exports to convince Trump to reduce a threatened 30 per cent tariff rate that is due to kick in on August 1.

“The question is, do they offer President Trump a good enough deal that is worth it for him to step off of the 30 per cent tariffs that he set,” Lutnick said, adding that the EU clearly wanted – and needed – to reach an agreement.

Donald Trump,  Ursula von der Leyen
US President Donald Trump is meeting EU Commission head Ursula von der Leyen to discuss trade. (AP PHOTO)

A separate U.S. administration official was upbeat that a deal was possible. “We’re cautiously optimistic that there will be a deal reached,” the official said, speaking on condition of anonymity. “But it’s not over till it’s over.”

Ambassadors of EU governments, on a weekend trip to Greenland organised by the Danish presidency of the EU, held a teleconference with EU Commission officials on Sunday to agree on the amount of leeway von der Leyen would have in the talks.

In case there is no deal and the U.S. imposes 30 per cent tariffs from August 1, the EU has prepared counter-tariffs on 93 bn euros ($A164 bn) of US goods.

EU diplomats have said a deal would likely include a broad 15 per cent tariff on EU goods imported into the US, mirroring the U.S.-Japan trade deal, along with a 50 per cent tariff on European steel and aluminium for which there could be export quotas.

The EU deal would be a huge prize, given that the US and EU are each other’s largest trading partners by far and account for a third of global trade.

EU officials are hopeful that a 15 per cent baseline tariff would also apply to cars, replacing the current 27.5 per cent auto tariff.

Some expect the 27-nation bloc may be able to secure exemptions from the 15 per cent baseline tariff for its aerospace industry and for spirits, though probably not for wine.

The EU could also pledge to buy more liquefied natural gas from the US, a long-standing offer, and boost investment in the United States.

The US president, in Scotland for a few days of golfing and bilateral meetings, told reporters upon his arrival on Friday evening that von der Leyen was a highly respected leader and he was looking forward to meeting with her.

Australia-UK treaty unlikely to sink subs deal with US

Australia-UK treaty unlikely to sink subs deal with US

Cold water has been poured on suggestions a long-term Australian-British pact could put American noses out of joint as it revisits a major submarine deal.

Deputy Prime Minister Richard Marles and UK Secretary of State John Healey have inked a 50-year agreement to strengthen ties around the AUKUS nuclear submarine agreement.

AUKUS, formed with the UK and US in 2021 amid China’s rising military ambition, is designed to enable Australia to build and deliver its own nuclear-powered attack submarines in the early 2040s.

UK Secretary of State for Defence John Healey with Richard Marles
The two top officials expressed confidence in the ongoing involvement of the US in the AUKUS deal. (Lloyd Jones/AAP PHOTOS)

But the future of the $560 billion deal has been under a cloud since the Trump administration initiated a 30-day review to examine if it meets its “America-first” criteria.

Mr Marles expressed confidence about the US’s ongoing involvement in the partnership, a sentiment echoed by Mr Healey and UK Foreign Secretary David Lammy.

Trade Minister Don Farrell denied the so-called Geelong treaty risked annoying the US, arguing it did the opposite.

“The message that the Americans will get out of this is that the other two parties to AUKUS are very, very supportive of the continuation of the project,” he said.

The coalition has backed the bilateral agreement but opposition foreign affairs spokeswoman Michaelia Cash said it raised questions.

“Was the US brought in on this? Did they know about it? What was their response to it?” she said.

HMS Prince of Wales at the Talisman Sabre ceremony in Darwin
The Australia-UK pact could stabilise some of the conversation around AUKUS, a defence expert says. (Lloyd Jones/AAP PHOTOS)

Maritime security expert Jennifer Parker, who served for more than 20 years with the Royal Australian Navy, said media and commentators were “reading way too much” into the timing of the treaty.

She noted the bilateral agreement was first announced at a trilateral AUKUS meeting in the UK in September, attended by the then-US Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin.

“It’s the hard work of nine months of treaty negotiations to end up in this spot,” the Australian National University expert associate told AAP.

“The announcement, in the midst of the US review, is helpful to stabilising some of the conversation around AUKUS.”

Although details of the treaty will remain sheltered from public view until it is tabled in federal parliament, Ms Parker said it seemed to deal with elements of AUKUS likely to differ from the US review.

The treaty appeared to primarily focus on phase three of the trilateral deal, which includes the UK transferring nuclear-powered submarine capability to Australia with US permission.

Jets lined up on HMS Prince of Wales aircraft carrier in Darwin
Australia will pay $5 billion to support the UK nuclear industry to power the future submarines. (Lloyd Jones/AAP PHOTOS)

Australia will pay $5 billion to support British industry in designing and producing nuclear reactors to power the future AUKUS-class subs.

It is separately slated to acquire at least three Virginia-class nuclear-powered submarines from the US in the early 2030s.

Ms Parker said the US review was unlikely to be “catastrophic” for AUKUS as it was significantly in its interest.

But she acknowledged there could be some “tweaks around the edges”.

“We know the current US administration wants to put their own stamp on each deal,” the defence analyst said.

“I don’t think they will, but if the US refuse to sell us submarines in the 2030s, that doesn’t mean AUKUS has failed.

“It means there’s a capability gap between Australia’s building of SSNs (Australia’s nuclear-powered submarines) and the phase-out of the Collins class.”

Australian Defence Force personel
More than 35,000 personnel from 19 militaries including the UK are in Australia for Talisman Sabre. (Dean Lewins/AAP PHOTOS)

With signing formalities done and dusted, Mr Marles, Mr Healey, Mr Lammy and Australian Foreign Minister Penny Wong toured the HMS Prince of Wales in Darwin amid Talisman Sabre exercises.

The war games, which began on July 13, encompass more than 35,000 personnel from 19 militaries across three weeks.

The HMS Prince of Wales is the first UK aircraft carrier to visit Australia since 1997.

“As threats are increasing, partnerships like the UK and Australia matter more than ever,” Mr Healey told reporters on Sunday.

“By exercising together and being more ready to fight, we deter better together.”

‘Heartbroken’ PM says Israel breached international law

‘Heartbroken’ PM says Israel breached international law

Israel has “quite clearly” breached international law by limiting food deliveries to starving civilians in Gaza, Anthony Albanese has declared in a notable escalation of his criticism of the Jewish state.

The prime minister spoke of his emotional response to images of gaunt and dying children in the Palestinian territory, while acknowledging increased airdrops of aid by Israel was “a start”.

“It just breaks your heart,” he told ABC’s Insiders on Sunday. 

People participate in a rally calling for sanctions against Israel
Anthony Albanese says Israel’s food blockade in Gaza is a breach of international law and humanity. (Lukas Coch/AAP PHOTOS)

“A one-year-old boy is not a Hamas fighter, and the civilian casualties and deaths in Gaza is completely unacceptable. It’s completely indefensible.

“Quite clearly it is a breach of international law to stop food being delivered, which was a decision that Israel made in March. It’s a breach of decent humanity and of morality, and everyone can see that.”

Australian National University Professor Donald Rothwell, a leading expert in international law, said he could not think of a previous example of an Australian prime minister making such a direct and clear statement concerning Israel.

“It’s rather exceptional that an Australian prime minister would make such a clear comment about a breach of international law by another state,” he told AAP.

He said while unprecedented, Mr Albanese’s claim did not appear to be without merit.

A malnourished child and mother in Gaza
Images of starving children in the Palestinian territory have reverberated around the world. (AP PHOTO)

“I’m always very cautious to comment about this, but all I can say is that the evidence that I see on my television screen is fairly compelling,” Prof Rothwell said.

Not only were Gazans suffering from a lack of food, but dangerous conditions around aid points had resulted in desperate civilians being shot and killed as they sought support, Medecins Sans Frontieres Australia executive director Jennifer Tierney said.

“We are seeing one in four people in our clinics who are malnourished,” she told ABC News. 

Ms Tierney urged Australians horrified by the scenes in Gaza to get in touch with their MPs and let their feelings be heard.

Thousands of protesters turned out in Sydney on Sunday to highlight the threat of mass starvation facing two million Gazans and call for the Australian government to sanction Israel.

MSF Australia Executive Director Jennifer Tierney
Australians horrified by the scenes in Gaza should pressure their MPs, Jennifer Tierney says. (Lukas Coch/AAP PHOTOS)

Prof Rothwell said the effectiveness of Mr Albanese’s statement on its own would be limited, but repeating the claim in front of the UN General Assembly in September or pursuing economic sanctions against Israel could carry greater weight.

Despite his growing criticisms of Israel, Mr Albanese said Australia would not follow the lead of France in “imminently” recognising Palestinian statehood at the General Assembly.

Any resolution would need to guarantee Hamas, the de facto ruling authority in Gaza listed as a terrorist organisation by Australia, had no part in Palestine’s future, he said.

“We need security for the state of Israel, but you need to have the legitimate aspirations of the Palestinians for their own state realised as well,” Mr Albanese said. 

“That will mean security arrangements, it will need agreements as well about the rebuilding of Gaza and the West Bank. It will need the issue of settlements to resolve as well.”

A file photo of pro-Palestinian protesters
Anthony Albanese says his government will not be “imminently” recognising a Palestinian state. (Mick Tsikas/AAP PHOTOS)

Recognising a Palestinian state as part of a two-state solution in the Middle East is included in Labor’s national platform.

“Are we about to imminently do that? No, we are not,” Mr Albanese said.

“But we will engage constructively. The United States as well will have a critical role in this. They have to play a role.”

Mr Albanese once again called for an immediate ceasefire and for Gaza to release Israeli hostages.

But opposition foreign affairs spokeswoman Michaelia Cash said the government had failed to lay the blame for the war at the feet of Hamas in a statement condemning Israel’s denial of aid.

The piece of data that could decide next rate decision

The piece of data that could decide next rate decision

Traders, economists and mortgage holders will be locked into the Australian Bureau of Statistics website this week for a piece of data that could determine whether the Reserve Bank cuts interest rates next month.

Minutes from the RBA board’s last meeting confirmed the central bank was holding out for more signs inflation was on track before cutting again, highlighting the importance of Wednesday’s quarterly consumer price index.

AMP chief economist Shane Oliver believes an annualised result of 2.8 per cent or below for the RBA’s preferred trimmed mean measure would clear the way for another rate cut in its August 11-12 meeting.

But anything higher and we could be in for another hold.

RBA board members
The RBA board has so far held out for more signs inflation is on track before cutting rates. (Lukas Coch/AAP PHOTOS)

Dr Oliver predicts the trimmed mean will come in at 2.6 per cent year-on-year, down from the 2.9 per cent figure in the March quarter and close to the midpoint of the RBA’s 2-3 per cent target range.

“Expect solid increases in prices for clothing, health and travel with a modest rise in new dwelling costs offset by softness in transport and petrol prices, communication, education and insurance,” he wrote in a research note.

“However, as the RBA has noted, some of the components in the recent monthly CPI suggest upside risk to the trimmed mean inflation.”

The market consensus is for a rise of 2.7 per cent, which would be higher than the RBA’s forecast of 2.6 per cent. Even higher than that and it could cause the market to rethink its near certain odds of an August rate cut.

“The money market sees a 98 per cent chance of an August rate cut, which is probably a bit too high,” Dr Oliver said. 

“We would put it at around 80 per cent.”

On Thursday, economists will gorge on a feast of data as the ABS releases retail trade, building approvals and international trade price figures.

The retail print is the last the bureau will produce before it switches over to a more comprehensive measure of consumption, the monthly household spending indicator.

“Appropriately, monthly sales look set for one ‘last hurrah’ with the June update expected to see a robust one per cent gain – the best monthly result since Jan 2024,” said economists from Westpac.

New houses in Canberra (file)
Building approvals numbers will be among the batch of data released by the ABS. (Mick Tsikas/AAP PHOTOS)

But the gain mainly reflects a bounce back from soft sales in previous months, they said, as consumers struggle to gain momentum following the loss of purchasing power during the post-pandemic inflation spike.

Property analytics firm Cotality will update its home value index on Friday, with prices expected to continue to be propelled upwards as falling interest rates boost buyer demand.

Investors on Wall Street are meanwhile optimistic the US will soon reach a trade deal with the European Union.

Indices notched record high closes on Friday ahead of European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen’s meeting with Donald Trump in Scotland on Sunday.

The S&P 500 climbed 0.40 per cent to end the session at 6,388.64 points. The Nasdaq gained 0.24 per cent to 21,108.32 points and the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.47 per cent to 44,901.92 points.

 Australian share futures were down 5.0 points, or 0.05 per cent, to 8,360.

The benchmark S&P/ASX200 index on Friday dropped 42.5 points, or 0.49 per cent, to 8,666.9, while the broader All Ordinaries was down 45.1 points, or 0.5 per cent, to 8,934.3.

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